This classic book provides a rigorous introduction to basic probability theory and statistical inference that is motivated by interesting, relevant applications. It assumes readers have a background in calculus, and offers a unique balance of theory and methodology. Chapter topics cover an introduction to statistics and data analysis, probability, random variables and probability distributions, mathematical expectation, some discrete probability distributions, some continuous probability distributions, functions of random variables, fundamental sampling distributions and data descriptions, one- and two-sample estimation problems, one- and two-sample tests of hypotheses, simple linear regression and correlation, multiple linear regression and certain nonlinear regression models, one factor experiments: general, factorial experiments (two or more factors), 2k factorial experiments and fractions, nonparametric statistics, and statistical quality control. For individuals trying to apply statistical concepts to real-life, and analyze and interpret data.
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Goals, Approach and Mathematical Level
The seventh edition emphasizes and illustrates the use of probabilistic models and statistical methodology that is employed in countless applications in all areas of science and engineering. There remains an important balance between theory and methodology that is featured in the text. We do not avoid the use of some theory but our goal is to let the mathematics provide insight rather than be a distraction. We feel that engineers and scientists are trained in mathematics and thus the providing of mathematical support when needed keeps the pedagogy from becoming a series of illustrated recipes in which the concepts are not understood and could never be applied or extended by the student except within very narrow bounds.
The text contains an abundance of exercises in which the methodology discussed is illustrated by the use of real-life scientific scenarios and data sets. The complete set of data files which accompany the text are available for download from the text companion website, located at http://www.prenhall.com/walpole. Though we attempt to appeal to engineers, the exercises are not confined to engineering applications. The student is exposed to problems encountered in many sciences including social sciences and biomedical applications. The motivation here stems from the fact that trained engineers are more and more becoming exposed to nontraditional settings, including areas like bioinformatics and bioengineering.
While we do let calculus play an important role but it should be noted that its use is confined to elementary probability theory and properties of probability distributions (Chapters 3, 4, 6, and 7). In addition, a modest amount of matrix algebra is used to support the linear regression material in Chapters 11 and 12. This is despite the fact that an "optional" section appears in Chapter 11 that includes the development of the multiple linear regression model with more substantive use of matrices. The student who uses this text should have completed one semester or two quarters of differential and integral calculus. An exposure to matrix algebra would be helpful but not necessary if the course content excludes the aforementioned optional section.
Content and Course Planning
The text is designed for either a one or two semester course. A reasonable curriculum for a one semester course might include Chapters 1 through 10. One may even choose to teach an early portion of Chapter 11 in order to introduce the student to the concept of simple linear regression. Chapter 1 is an overview of statistical inference, sampling and data analysis. Indeed, some very rudimentary aspects of experimental design are included, along with an appreciation of graphics and certain vital characteristics of data collection. Chapters 2, 3, and 4 deal with basic probability and discrete and continuous random variables. Chapters 5 and 6 cover specific discrete and continuous distributions with illustrations of their use and relationships among them. Chapter 7 deals with transformations of random variables. This chapter is listed as "optional" and would only be covered in a more theoretical course. This chapter is clearly the most mathematical chapter in the text. Chapter 8 includes additional material on graphical methods as well as an introduction to the notion of a sampling distribution. The t and F distributions are introduced along with motivation regarding their use in chapters that follow. Chapters 9 and 10 contain material on one and two sample point and interval estimation and hypothesis testing. The flexibility in a single semester course lies in the option of exclusion of Chapter 7 as well as teaching only a subset of the several specific discrete and continuous distributions discussed and illustrated in Chapters 5 and 6. There is additional flexibility involved in dealing with Chapter 9 where maximum likelihood and Bayes estimation are covered in detail. An instructor may decide to give only a cursory development of one or both of these topics. In addition, estimation in Chapter 9 includes new material on prediction intervals and tolerance intervals along with a thorough discussion on the distinction among them, with examples. Flexibility may be exercised here.Chapters 11-17 contain ample material for a second semester of a two-semester course. Chapters 11 and 12 cover simple and multiple linear regression respectively. However, Chapter 12 contains new material that deals with special nonlinear models involved when one deals with nonnormal responses. As a result, logistic and Poisson regression are treated along with important practical illustrations. This in addition to new material in categorical variable regression again provides considerable flexibility for the instructor in his or her treatment of regression. The treatment of regression in this text is extensive and many special regression topics in Chapter 12 are self-contained. Chapters 13 through 17 contain topics in analysis of variance, design of experiments, nonparametric statistics, and quality control.
Case Studies and Computer Software
As in previous editions there are many case studies that demonstrate statistical analysis of interesting real-life data sets. In most cases graphical techniques are used. These case studies are featured in two sample hypothesis testing, multiple linear regression, analysis of variance, and the analysis of 2-level experimental designs. Where appropriate, the use of residual plots, quantile plots, and normal probability plots are described in the analysis. Computer output is used for illustration purposes for these case studies and for other examples in the text. In that regard both SAS and MINITAB are featured. We have always felt that the experience of reading computer printout is invaluable to the student even if the package or packages featured in the text are not what is used by the instructor. Exposure to more than one type of software can broaden the experience base for the student. There is certainly no reason to believe that the software in the course is that which he or she will be called upon to use in practice.
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